I am hovering around .500 for the season, but my real concern is to be over .575 with my 4-star and 5-star games.  To get closer to the that goal I will need the Texans and Colts to cover their modest spreads.
Season: 34-37-3
Last Week: 5-7-2

Chicago Bears @ Atlanta Falcons
Notes: The Falcons are the biggest surprise of the year so far, but when you look at why they are successful it is no surprise.  The Falcons run the ball and they don’t turn it over.
Pick: Falcons +3

Miami Dolphins @ Houston Texans
Notes: This is my favorite game of the weekend.  The Texans showed what they are capable of last weekend, and then promptly showed us all what they are capable of in the exact opposite direction when they screwed the pooch against the Colts.  The Texans still haven’t won, and the Dolphins two wins are against last yeat’s AFC Championship Game opponents.  Miami also got smoked by the Cardinals on the road and will struggle to contain the Texans offense.
Pick: Texans -3

Baltimore Ravens @ Indianapolis Colts
Notes: This is my second favorite game of the weekend.  The Ravens are yet to play anyone of of quality while the Colts are feeling good about everything.  A mere four points at home?  I will gladly give those points.
Pick: Colts -4

Detroit Lions @ Minnesota Vikings
Notes: Despite the Lions being the worst team in the NFL, 13 points is too many for me.
Pick: Lions +13

Oakland Raiders @ New Orleans Saints
Notes: The Raiders have shown they are going to stick around in most games, and they like to do it via the run.  The Saints lost last week, but not because the Vikings were able to run.  Both these teams are proving to be unreliable and an argument can be made either way.
Pick: Saints -7

Cincinnati Bengals @ New York Jets
Notes: Another big line for the Bengals.  Carson Palmer not being in made this jump almost 3 points.  I don’t believe Palmer playing or not would make much difference.  The Jets are coming off their bye, and the Bengals are coming in after a tough loss at Dallas.  I would like to believe that Eric Mangini is going to have the Jets clicking this week, and it would make sense if the Bengals are a bit drained.  However, I don’t believe in Mangini and the Bengals showed last week that while they may not make the plays, they will play hard.
Pick: Bengals +9

Carolina Panthers @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Notes: These two teams are nearly identical.  Both beat the Falcons 24-9; both beat the Bears by 3 points; both lost the games they played in domes this year. I am going with the home team.
Pick: Buccaneers -1

St. Louis Rams @ Washington Redskins
Notes: The Rams on grass, in DC, against a rejuvenated Redskins team and fans.  I just can’t see the Rams keeping this close.  A Redskin let down after two big NFC East wins? Perhaps, but don’t count on it.
Pick: Redskins -13.5

Jacksonville Jaguars @ Denver Broncos
Notes: The Jaguars went into Indianapolis and won, why not Denver?
Pick: Jaguars +3.5

Dallas Cowboys @ Arizona Cardinals
Notes: Intriguing.  The Cardinals need the desert magic and their offense to be clicking, they do that and they will be ok.
Pick: Cardinals +5

Philadelphia Eagles @ San Francisco 49ers
Notes:All those Eagle injuries sure make the 49ers look good.
Pick: Eagles -4.5

Green Bay Packers @ Seattle Seahawks
Notes: Which team was more disappointing last week?  The Seahawks are notoriously better at home, but are the Packers going to lose 4 straight?  I don’t think so.
Pick: Packers +1

New England Patriots @ San Diego Chargers
Notes: Two weeks on the road for any team is a tough task.  The Patriots are just as capable as any team to overcome that obstacle.  The Chargers loss last week showed why they are not a championship caliber team.  That said, they do seem to win regular season home games against good teams.
Pick: Chargers -5

New York Giants @ Cleveland Browns
Notes: The Giants and Browns played in the preseason and the Giants put up a ton of points.  Some think that the second time around the Browns will have something figured out.  HAHA! Think about that, the Browns may have figured something out?  Doubt it!
Pick: Giants -9