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Sunday November 5, 2006 8:09 pm

Dime Day, First Edition: Fantasy Trades




Posted by Alvin Lai Categories: H2H, Roto, Site Features, Trades,

DescriptionYour weekend outlook has changed forever. Maybe you currently spend your Sundays glued to the television watching football. Maybe this day is the only time you consistently get to spend time with your loved one because of your work schedules. Whether Sundays are usually lazy or busy for you, they are usually good days. It’s time to add a little cinnamon to your french toast. What’s new with Sunday? Sunday is going to be Dime Day.

I’m going to use this space to talk about certain aspects of fantasy hoops. First up is trade talk. The first week of play is winding down. Yes it is early, but you can admit it. You have trades on the brain. If you did well this week, you’re thinking about how to sell high and improve your team. If your squad was slow out of the gate, you want to change things up before it is too late. Someone in my league tried to offer a fellow owner Rudy Gay for Paul Pierce. I pity that poor soul. Here’s a look at the types of trade offers you may come across this season.

Fantasy trades can be broken down into several kinds.

1. Value for value.
The Leisure Suit Larry types with a lot of time on their hands like to make these kinds of offers. Kevin Garnett for Dirk Nowitzki. Lebron James for Kobe Bryant. Dwyane Wade for Gilbert Arenas. You get the idea. Generally speaking, the players involved have similar skill sets and fantasy value. There is no good reason to make these kinds of deals except to change things up. Perhaps injury concerns play a role in pulling the trigger on this kind of deal. Other times it might be simple fanboy tendencies. Right now it is way to early to nit-pick on the handful of games your superstars have played. Sit tight on this kind of trade for now. Sure Dirk drains more treys, but do you really want to give up KG’s assists and boards?

2. Need for need.
Unlike above, this type of trade involves different kinds of players but their fantasy value is comparable. The real life trade of Charlie Villanueva for T.J. Ford illustrates this kind of deal nicely. If you can give up some boards and need the assists and steals that a guard like Ford can bring, you might like this deal. Winning this kind of deal depends on the make-up of your entire roster. Maybe adding Ford would be nice if Charlie V sits behind Shawn Marion, Dwight Howard and Lamar Odom in your front-court. On the other hand, if Charlie V is your best big man, the deal might not seem so attractive.

These types of deals often attract protest from your anal-retentive league-mates, because they have their own pre-conceived notion of the value of the players involved. Try to resist the urge to shoot down every single trade that goes down in your league. Agreeing on a trade is not easy. Just because you do not like the deal and/or would not have done it yourself does not make it veto-able.

3. Overpaying for what you want.This type of trade probably is seen more in roto leagues. The first place team laps the field in certain categories, say rebounds and blocks, for example. This opens the door to trade away one of the stud big men on the team for help in other areas.

Struggling teams may have to make this kind of trade too. Suppose you overlooked the lack of three-point shooters on your team on draft day. Then the hot pick-ups to start the season were taken by other owners before you had the chance to scope them out. It might cost you one of your good centers to get a guy like Kyle Korver, so you do not bite the dust on the season just after it starts.

4. The silly offers.
Inevitably you will find one or two jokers in your league who find it amusing to throw out some inane offers. Or maybe they are so delusional that they think you would actually consider taking them seriously. The above-mentioned Gay for Pierce offer is a good example. Nick Collison for Dwight Howard. You get the idea.

Be careful. Sure, sending these offers off may be good for a quick chuckle, but you just might alienate yourself from your league or be branded a “difficult” owner to trade with. Then when you seriously need to improve your team, finding a trade partner to dance with will be a lost cause. Go check out Dave Chappelle or Borat if you need a laugh.

5. Offers based on last year’s stats.
I was offered Richard Hamilton for Jameer Nelson and Nazr Mohammed in one of my leagues. Now, I like Rip. And I could see this being a reasonable offer…last year. Nelson has a chance to really step up his game, and Nazr is starting for the Pistons. Stay up to date, people!

6. The fair-weather trader.
I e-mailed back my friend who offered me Rip. This offer was sent to me prior to the season starting. I told him if he was interested in that package, he would have to consider trading away his fourth round pick, Ray Felton, for me to consider it. I never heard a peep from him again…until Jameer dropped 21 points and Felton went 4-for-15. Then it was “You still want Felton?”

If you have an owner who operates like this, consider the offer carefully. Weigh his short-term gains against your potential long-term reward. You both could do well with this kind of trade, but hopefully you come out ahead just a little. Hmm. Jameer was pretty quiet today. Maybe I should give my friend a call…

7. Sell-high or buy low.
Hakim Warrick is a good example of someone making the best of the opportunity he has been given this year. He has responded with good play, and chances are he has already been added to a fantasy roster in your league. What happens when Pau Gasol comes back? If you do not want to find this out first-hand, then you might want to “sell high.”

Buying low is trickier, in that what you buy might just keep its low value. Everyone expects Stephon Marbury to bounce back and be a prominent fantasy point guard again. This week’s boxscores have not been encouraging. Is the Starbury owner in your league sweating? Is now the time to pounce? If you have an unexplainable loyalty to the guy, does it really matter? Uh, right. Personal tastes aside, Marbury might be a good buy-low target. Of course, maybe it IS the shoes and…I don’t really want to finish this sentence.

8. Multi-player trades.
In general trades involving more than one player from each team are some combination of the trade types listed above. Two-for-one trades are usually need-based, for example. And they can be overpaying slightly for the player they want, and it is worth it to give up two good players for one very good player.

In the end, it is only week one. Offers sent to or by you are probably just the start of preliminary negotiations. It is too early to be negative, so show some loyalty to your squad. Or blow the thing up for all I care. It’s all fantasy, the players don’t even know we exist!

Peace and good luck.

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Comments:

Really good read. Who wrote it by the way?

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